Look back at the weather · Find the daily patterns
Loading comparisons…
ECCC GeoMet climate-hourly observations. Farm minus station differences use matched UTC hours; temperatures °C, wind km/h. Directions are circular means (where wind comes from); farm bearings use the existing reversible correction. Different exposure and elevation can cause real differences. Daily rain uses ECCC climate-daily when available, otherwise sums of ≥23 valid hourly precipitation reports for completed days (snow water may be included as labelled); farm rain is the recorded daily counter maximum, not a completed rain-gauge audit.
Observed farm daily highs/lows vs GEM seamless and ECMWF IFS 0.25° historical forecast archives. Historical archives stitch the first hours of successive model runs: this is a model comparison, not a fixed day-ahead accuracy score. Separate saved day-ahead scores will appear as forecasts captured before the target date verify. Model issue time is unavailable; snapshots record retrieval time as issued_time. Partial farm days are excluded from error scores. Forecast precipitation includes snow water equivalent.
Sensors 1 and 2: hourly sample means of soil moisture (%). Bars show the last recorded rolling-hour rain amount near the end of each hour (mm), not calendar-hour totals. Missing values remain missing; lines connect only between real observations.
Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at 43.47°N, 79.93°W: 1991–2020 means for each calendar day (30 years), not ECCC station normals. Farm highs/lows are sampled observations; rain is the daily counter maximum. Today and days with less than 20 hours of coverage are marked partial. Same week last year will come once a year of farm data exists.
Nights run 6 PM–9 AM America/Toronto, labelled by evening date. Minima use only real station observations. Successful send entries come from the existing alerts.log, including forecast frost heads-ups and live watch/warning/freeze/all-clear events. “Sent” means the SMS provider accepted at least one send, not confirmed delivery. Missing historical logs are unknown, not “no alert”.